China Open 2023 Final: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Fixture: (2) Daniil Medvedev vs (6) Jannik Sinner

Tournament: China Open 2023

Date: October 4, 2023

Match Timing: Not before 7:30 pm local time / 7:30 am ET / 5 pm IST / 11:30 am GMT

Round: Final

Venue: National Tennis Center, Beijing, China

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Hard

Prize money: $3,633,875

Live telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Amazon Prime | Canada – TSN

Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner preview

Second seed Daniil Medvedev will face sixth seed Jannik Sinner in the final of the China Open.

The Russian started the tournament with a 6-2, 6-1 win over Tommy Paul and followed it up by defeating Alex de Minaur 7-6 (3), 6-3 to reach the quarterfinals. Here, he faced Ugo Humbert and registered his very first win over the Frenchman, beating him 6-4, 3-6, 6-1.

Medvedev then faced eighth seed Alexander Zverev in the semifinals and made a solitary break in the final game of the first set to take it 6-4. He made another decisive break in the eighth game of the second set and eventually went on to win it 6-3 to book his place in the China Open final.

Jannik Sinner, meanwhile, started the ATP 500 tournament with a 6-4, 6-7 (2), 6-3 win over Dan Evans. He followed it up with a 6-2, 6-0 drubbing of Yoshihito Nishioka to reach the quarterfinals.

Here, the Italian was up against Grigor Dimitrov. He survived a scare against the Bulgarian to beat him 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 and set up a semifinal clash against top seed Carlos Alcaraz.

The first set of the match was tightly contested and went to a tiebreak, with Sinner winning 7-4 to take the lead in the match. He then dominated the second set and took it 6-1 to book his place in the China Open final.

Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner head-to-head

Medvedev leads 6-0 in the head-to-head against Sinner. Their most recent meeting came in the final of the Miami Open, which the Russian won 7-5, 6-3.


Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner odds

Player Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games (Over and Under)
Daniil Medvedev -175 -1.5 (+135) Over 22.5 (-120)
Jannik Sinner +140 +1.5 (-190) Under 22.5 (-120)

All odds are sourced from BETMGM.


Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner prediction

Medvedev’s perfect record against Sinner along with his quality on hard courts makes him the favorite entering the match. However, the latter should not be written off as he could always produce the performance of his life to beat the Russian for the first time in his career.

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